A 44-story office buildng in St. Louis recently sold for $3.5 million. A 500,000 square foot regional mall just sold for $7 million., And here’s a mobile home park selling for $70 million. How can a mobile home park be worth 20 times more than an office building and ten times more than a regional mall? Several reasons:

1. Mobile home parks are based on affordable housing, which is the most in-demand form of real estate in the U.S. Meanwhile, nobody wants office space or retail space today.
2. Mobile home parks have no risk due to technology – you can’t live in the “cloud”. The internet is what killed office and retail.
3. Mobile home park rents have plenty of room to double and triple in the years ahead as they are ridiculously low ($300/mo. average lot rent vs. $2,000/mo. for apartments). Meanwhile office and retail rents per square foot are plunging.
4. Mobile home parks never become obsolete or require big capital expenditures as they are just a parking lot for mobile homes. Office and retail properties become dated and need giant, continual investments on such things as roofs and foundations.

Who would have ever thought that mobile home parks would be more valuable than office towers and regional malls? Pretty much any mobile home park owner.

The park owner got a legitimate offer of around $40 million for his 370-lot park. The tenants mistakenly thought that simply by saying they would match the price the park owner would opt to sell to them. But here’s the catch:

1. The park residents have no money.
2. The park residents have no experience in buying or operating parks.
3. For the tenants to buy the park will require non-profit subsidies and loan guarantees.
4. Putting all this together will take a year.
5. he corporate buyer can probably close in 60 days with no time, effort or risk to the seller.

There is a thing in life called “time urgency” and if the seller waits a year for the tenants to buy the park and they then fail miserably (which is a 99.9999% certainty) the seller will lose the good corporate buyer who will have moved on. Once again, any sane person would understand that.

There are two sides to every story and this article only presents one. I’m pretty sure that any sane adult can guess that the reason these twelve leases were terminated is for plenty of factors that are conveniently not discussed (such as the homes being in poor condition, rules enforcement, non-payment of rent, etc.).

When a park owner non-renews a lease it costs them around $10,000+ in lost rent and lot preparation for a new home, not to mention the pain and suffering of bringing in a home and getting it sold. The last thing a park owner wants to do is to non-renew a good, paying tenant. I’m betting these were anything BUT good, paying customers and there’ no way the owner could keep the business functioning with these folks as residents so they bit the bullet and are going to sacrifice around $120,000 to get rid of the people that are ruining the quality of life for all the other residents.

If the reporter had bothered to show pictures of the homes of the people that were interviewed the cause of the non-renewals would probably be clear.

In an email to KING 5 Collective Communities said the rents are rising because they've already spent $650,000 on improvements and plan to invest another $1 million in 2024 for repairs and maintenance.
"The second part of our analysis is to compare our lot rents to the Federal Government's definition of affordable housing," the statement continued. "Every year HUD issues the average median income ("AMI") for every county in the country. For Snohomish County the AMI was $146K. HUD suggests that a household should spend no more than 30% of their income on rent/housing expenses. We've adjusted the AMI by two factors (50% of AMI and 30% of AMI) and compared what monthly rent should be based on those adjusted income limits. In Royalwood's case the new lot rent is 51% below the HUD suggested rent at 50% of AMI and 18% below the HUD suggested rent at 30% of AMI. While we understand the lot rents have increased we believe that Royalwood still provides a quality affordable housing option for our residents in the market as compared to other forms of housing in Snohomish County."

Bravo for the park owner putting it so accurately to the media and those who question the more than fair rent increases. Not all the residents in this park will be able to afford the necessary increases and those who can’t need to find an alternative housing option. That’s how an economy works. If you want the Wendy’s Baconator but don’t have $10 for it, you simply buy the less expensive burger – you can’t go to Wendy’s and say “you need to reduce the price of the Baconator so I can afford it”. If you have retired in California – the second most expensive state in the U.S. behind Hawaii – then high prices are part of the bargain. You can get this same housing option in Missouri for less than half that price. But it’s the resident’s responsibility to match their income to their location and not that of the property owner.

If you are paying $40 million for 370 lots, that’s over $100,000 per lot. No way those numbers are going to work at $552 per month lot rent. Whether it’s an institutional buyer or the residents buying it, that rent is going to double to justify that cost. This nonsense that residents can buy parks and somehow stop rent increases ends with a simple use of a calculator and spreadsheet. 

PALMDALE — The Housing Authority — which includes all members of the city council — on Wednesday approved a system for increasing rent at Palmdale’s three city-owned mobile home parks, as well as a method for assisting those most impacted by the increase. Rents on the spaces have not been increased since 2008, when a cap of $400 per month was set; most spaces reached that maximum by 2013. Operating costs have increased in the meantime, up 21% from 2022 to 2023 and 17% this year. With the cap on rents keeping revenue stable for about a decade, the revenue is not keeping up with the costs of maintaining and operating the parks, Director of Neighborhood Services Sofia Reyes said during the authority’s March 20 meeting, when the matter was first introduced.

Holy Cow, here’s the City of Palmdale, California pushing back on critics to their recent plan to significantly raise the rents on three parks that the city itself owns. I never figured I’d see that – what a turn of events in today’s political climate. Groundbreaking.

"During an independent analysis, the Park determined that in order to avoid continuing to run the Park at a loss given the ongoing expenses and costs, the Park was required to increase space rents. The Park’s analysis took into consideration the fair market values of rents, the expenses required to operate and maintain the amenities of the Park, and the Park’s ongoing and recurring expenses," Skyline Ranch Country Club Manager Chris Ingersoll said.

Well, the owner did not mince words in their accurate depiction of the situation. It’s just a cold hard fact that mobile home park lot rents are ridiculously low and unsustainable in most cases and will have to go up significantly to keep these properties alive. The alternative is to demolish the park and turn the land into a different use (apartments, of course) and in California that will not be hard to accomplish.

Since our theme is “Fantasy vs. Reality” I had to include this idiotic article about young people speculating on homes in Austin, Texas. Yes, the same place that makes every list of the cities with the greatest odds for home price collapse, with articles such as this one: https://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/austin-house-prices-are-falling-but-experts-say-19378718.php. Want to destroy yourself financially? Buy a single-family home with maximum debt load in a declining market. I know that HGTV had on all these shows like “Flipping Vegas” BUT ARE YOU AWARE THAT THE SHOW STOPPED FILMING IN 2014? ALL THOSE EPISODES ARE REPEATS. The single-family home flipping ship sailed years ago when 3% mortgages walked the earth and I’m sure you’ll revisit this article three years from now and the ending will not be the fantasy that was suggested. Before any young person follows this article’s advice, they need to talk to an old person who saw what happened to Austin real estate in 1990 and again in 2000. Heck, you can just call me!

 “I watched what was happening [with the recent sale], and I thought—well, this is an investment company, they’re not in it to be your friend.”

Here’s the hard reality: Crozet, Virginia home prices are $498,400 and the apartment rent averages $1,940 per month. And let me get this straight -- $450 per month is unfair? No, the park owner is not in the business of making “friends”, they are in the business of making money. They bought the park because they spotted the rent was ridiculously low at $250 per month just as a smart stock investor buys Apple when the price seems low compared to book value. The former park owner – who held it for 40 years – clearly did not run the park as a business. But any modern buyer is going to make this a sustainable investment-grade asset and that means the rents are going to go up. It’s also interesting to note that, based on any semblance of realism, the rents at $450 are still absolutely, ridiculously low and it’s a miracle the new buyer has not already gone much higher. 

“This past legislative session, Democrats introduced House Bill 2114 in Olympia, seeking to limit rent increases by 7%. But opposition from Republicans and divided Democratic lawmakers stalled the bill. It passed the House, but didn’t make it out of committee in the Senate. Manufactured home owners are at the mercy of park owners who may raise their “space rent” each year with no limitations. It’s expensive, and sometimes impossible, to move a home. According to Forbes, moving a manufactured home costs $9,000 on average — even if the slight misnomer “mobile home” has stuck around.”

Yes, it’s expensive to move a mobile home, so don’t do it. Instead – if you can’t afford to live there – sell it like the owners of single-family homes and condos do. I mean you can move a brick house, too (I’ve seen it done on PBS) but why do it?

Obviously, people are mad that the State of Washington refused to enact rent control. That topic is now scuttled for a while. No offense, but it didn’t even come close to passing. The fact is that Washington is a really expensive state to live in. If you can’t afford to live there, then sell your home and move to a lesser expensive state. You can get a nice spot in a charming Missouri mobile home park for around $350 per month.

"When we last updated the community, we were developing plans to rebuild/rehabilitate the units. The planned approach was based on advice from OHCS’ consultants and informed by industry-standard best practices," said Delia Hernandez, OHCS public information officer.The mobile homes were brought to Phoenix from Idaho. On their arrival, many had mold and over 20 health code violations.

Can you imagine how much money is squandered by incompetent non-profits? Where do you find folks so bad at business skills that they bought a batch of mobile homes filled with mold?

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 BASIS: 10

If you go to some of these over-the-top websites, you will find such novel items as 14K gold shotgun shells filled with 14k gold pellets, costing about $10,000 per shell. No way you can make sense of it, but apparently there are people so desperate for attention that they buy stuff like that. In this case, you have people spending $5 million to live in a trailer park. Not much difference.

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 SCALE: 7

I remember reviewing this article about a year ago, and clearly Spelling was actually living in the RV and not just using it for a vacation. The article I read back then included that Tori Spelling’s mother said that she offered to put the family up in a rental home but Tory Spelling refused. It’s clear to me that she was trying to invent this narrative hoping it would get her in the media somehow and re-ignite her career. What a pathetic group.

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 BASIS: 10

“We are sorry to hear that Lakeway Mobile Estates (the ‘Park’) is being sold for approximately $41 million,” the city stated in an email to a constituent about the sale. “We understand that the purchase price could result in a significant increase in lot rent, which many low-income residents at the Park will be unable to afford.”

OK, so let me get this straight. The residents were unable to pull off the purchase of the property for $41 million. So somebody else bought it for $41 million. The city was willing to cough up $7 million down payment. The private-sector buyer probably put down a little more than that, but close. With either party buying the property for $41 million there would be an identical note with identical interest rate and identical monthly payment. So then how exactly would the non-profit be able to buy it without raising lot rents just as high – or higher – than the private sector group would? The answer, of course, is that they can’t.

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 SCALE: 9

This one quote sums up the article:

“We’ve increased lot rent only once in the last four years,” said Gilsrud. “And that was by $6.”

If the resident-owned property had a rent of $400 per month and raised it only $6 over four years, then that’s quite a feat since inflation went up over 20% in the past three years alone, which means they would have had to raise the rent by $80 a month just to cover increases in water, sewer, electric, property tax, insurance, etc. So, assuming the park was trying to keep the rent as low as possible when it was purchased four years ago, the park is now $80 per month per lot short on money. That means the park is probably not making any of the perpetual capital expenditures that need to be performed due to lack of funds. So by depriving the park of $80 per month per lot of income the property will eventually fall into complete disrepair. This is the problem when you have a bunch of tenants voting to increase rents – they never will.

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 SCALE: 10

Bradstreet and Becker think the solution mostly lies with state and local lawmakers. Earlier this month, Democratic Governor Janet Mills signed a bill into law that would force cities and towns to allow mobile homes on any lots zoned for single-family homes. That could alleviate cost pressure over time. “Supply will eventually keep the prices down,” Bradstreet said.

Here’s a reality check. A new mobile home costs around $80,000. The average residential lot in the U.S. costs $80,000. Add them together and you’ve got a $160,000 mobile home offering. So forcing cities to allow mobile homes on single-family home lots (which is never going to happen) and then putting $160,000 mobile homes on the market (as popular as selling dog poop sandwiches) is going to eliminate the affordable housing crisis in Maine?

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 SCALE: 10

To aid those for whom any rent increase is too great a burden, the department is proposing an aid program that would use funds from the operations budget. Tenants would have to qualify as low-income, not be receiving other aid and reapply annually. The number of tenants aided each year would depend on available funds, according to the staff report.

OMG, not another non-profit owned park going bust? They now have to DOUBLE the rents on new residents to break even since they didn’t raise the rents annually to match inflation for over a decade. Are you spotting a trend here? And now the city is trying to turn this into some type of quasi-Section 8 mess. Do the voters in Palmdale realize how their money is squandered by these idiots on a daily basis?

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 BASIS: 8

In a trend that has accelerated since the pandemic, over one in five mobile home parks in Maine are owned by out-of-state investors.

How exactly is an “out-of-state” owner any different from an “in-state” owner? Let’s look at America’s largest retailer: Walmart. Except for Arkansas, every single Walmart store is an “out-of-state” owner. Same is true for every McDonalds not located in Illinois and every Hilton Hotel not located in Virginia. The truth is that where the owner lives means absolutely nothing.

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 SCALE: 8

The city purchased the Marin Valley Mobile Country Club property for $20 million in 1997. Forty-one percent of the spaces are required to be occupied by low- or moderate-income residents, although a much higher percentage of the current residents have low incomes.The city intended the neighborhood to be financially self-sufficient with revenues coming entirely from tenants’ pad rental fees. However, a Marin County Civil Grand Jury report last year questioned the organization’s solvency.“Novato’s 2022-2023 adopted budget shows that in the past four fiscal years MVMCC’s expenses have exceeded revenues by a total of more than $3.6 million,” the report said.The grand jury said the city was paying about $200,000 a year to help cover the neighborhood’s utility costs. The grand jury also noted that in 2022 the city allocated $3 million of its American Rescue Plan Act funds to help pay for a sewer system project in the community.

Wow, what a shocker. The resident-owned community can’t pay its bills without ongoing subsidies that were not approved by taxpayers. Never saw that one coming.

STUPIDITY RATING ON A 1 TO 10 BASIS: 10

SUGGESTED HEADLINE: “Non-Profits Squander $7 Million for 60 Families to Own a Trailer Park”.

SUGGESTED HEADLINE: “Residents Hate Rent Increases Regardless of How Minimal They Are”.

SUGGESTED HEADLINE: “If You Own a Home in Maine -- And Are Next Door to a Vacant Lot -- You Better Sell Fast.”

Jones said the project might cost more than $1 million. “The treatment system is old,” said Terry Jones, a senior environmental specialist for the DNR. “It was installed in the ’70s and can’t meet the more stringent ammonia and E. coli limits that were put in their permit several years ago. They were supposed to upgrade the system so that they could meet those limits, and they never did.” In 2019, an attorney for Mt. Joy sent a letter to the state “stating the cost for wastewater improvements were beyond what his client could afford,” DNR records show. In early 2020, Mt. Joy submitted a plan to the DNR to demolish its treatment facility and replace it. The department Mt. Joy has sought unsuccessfully to connect to the wastewater systems of Davenport and Eldridge, he said.

SUGGESTED HEADLINE: “Changes to Wastewater Laws May Put This Mobile Home Park Out of Business Unless $1 Million Can Be Found from an Out-Of-State Buyer”. 

SUGGESTED HEADLINE: “Park Owners Work Hard to Maintain the Lowest Rents in Youngstown”.

“Housing affordability is one of the biggest issues facing our state. Our conference has a plan to revitalize our existing housing stock by removing blight from our communities and replacing it with good quality housing units, to work with local communities on what housing strategies are best for them, to expand and create incentives for development, and to establish means-testing for rent-regulated housing to ensure that affordable housing units are occupied by those who truly need them. The legislative package we are putting forward today under the leadership of our housing ranker Senator Pam Helming will deliver affordable homeownership for the state of New York”.

SUGGESTED HEADLINE: “Big Talk in New York Yields Zero Results”.